{
"metadata": {
"nikola": {
"category": "",
"date": "2016-01-25 10:48:53 UTC",
"description": "",
"link": "",
"slug": "epl-23-24th-january-2016",
"tags": "",
"title": "EPL 23-24th January 2016",
"type": "text"
},
"signature": "sha256:2a23e9251b75a66a3340eb9d499e64fb967f5a3d592981c19979df05e32c1980"
},
"nbformat": 3,
"nbformat_minor": 0,
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{
"cells": [
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# EPL 23-24th January 2016\n",
"\n",
"Another interesting weekend in the premier league. Here is the usual look through the shot statistics underlying each of the matches."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"collapsed": false,
"input": [
"%matplotlib inline\n",
"import league_analysis\n",
"from IPython.display import display, HTML\n",
"epl = league_analysis.epl\n",
"league_analysis.blog_weekly_header(epl, '23/01/2016', '24/01/2016')"
],
"language": "python",
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"html": [
"\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Crystal Palace | Tottenham |
\n",
" | Goals | 1 | 3 |
\n",
" | Shots | 11 | 24 |
\n",
" | SOT | 3 | 11 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Leicester | Stoke |
\n",
" | Goals | 3 | 0 |
\n",
" | Shots | 15 | 3 |
\n",
" | SOT | 5 | 2 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Man United | Southampton |
\n",
" | Goals | 0 | 1 |
\n",
" | Shots | 8 | 7 |
\n",
" | SOT | 1 | 2 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Norwich | Liverpool |
\n",
" | Goals | 4 | 5 |
\n",
" | Shots | 6 | 13 |
\n",
" | SOT | 5 | 7 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Sunderland | Bournemouth |
\n",
" | Goals | 1 | 1 |
\n",
" | Shots | 10 | 15 |
\n",
" | SOT | 5 | 5 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Watford | Newcastle |
\n",
" | Goals | 2 | 1 |
\n",
" | Shots | 13 | 11 |
\n",
" | SOT | 5 | 2 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | West Brom | Aston Villa |
\n",
" | Goals | 0 | 0 |
\n",
" | Shots | 4 | 15 |
\n",
" | SOT | 0 | 4 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | West Ham | Man City |
\n",
" | Goals | 2 | 2 |
\n",
" | Shots | 10 | 16 |
\n",
" | SOT | 3 | 3 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Arsenal | Chelsea |
\n",
" | Goals | 0 | 1 |
\n",
" | Shots | 9 | 12 |
\n",
" | SOT | 1 | 6 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
"
\n",
" | Home | Away |
|---|
\n",
" | Team | Everton | Swansea |
\n",
" | Goals | 1 | 2 |
\n",
" | Shots | 20 | 7 |
\n",
" | SOT | 2 | 5 |
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"
| Position | Team | Points |
|---|
| 1 | Leicester | 47 |
\n",
"| 2 | Arsenal | 44 |
\n",
"| - | Man City | 44 |
\n",
"| 4 | Tottenham | 42 |
\n",
"| 5 | Man United | 37 |
\n",
"| 6 | West Ham | 36 |
\n",
"| 7 | Liverpool | 34 |
\n",
"| 8 | Stoke | 33 |
\n",
"| - | Southampton | 33 |
\n",
"| 10 | Watford | 32 |
\n",
"| 11 | Crystal Palace | 31 |
\n",
"| 12 | Everton | 29 |
\n",
"| 13 | West Brom | 28 |
\n",
"| - | Chelsea | 28 |
\n",
"| 15 | Swansea | 25 |
\n",
"| - | Bournemouth | 25 |
\n",
"| 17 | Norwich | 23 |
\n",
"| 18 | Newcastle | 21 |
\n",
"| 19 | Sunderland | 19 |
\n",
"| 20 | Aston Villa | 13 |
| Position | Team | Team Rating |
|---|
| 1 | Man City | 0.26123319200527234 |
\n",
"| 2 | Tottenham | 0.21872013366750204 |
\n",
"| 3 | Liverpool | 0.12822145747204197 |
\n",
"| 4 | Arsenal | 0.11717646655770717 |
\n",
"| 5 | Southampton | 0.0983791562309665 |
\n",
"| 6 | Man United | 0.07721113821911055 |
\n",
"| 7 | Leicester | 0.07085959897616796 |
\n",
"| 8 | Chelsea | 0.03440623694914642 |
\n",
"| 9 | Everton | 0.006848613572154542 |
\n",
"| 10 | Bournemouth | -0.005672918011988444 |
\n",
"| 11 | Watford | -0.008990466755551717 |
\n",
"| 12 | West Ham | -0.011628274987099847 |
\n",
"| 13 | Swansea | -0.07376439073320283 |
\n",
"| 14 | Crystal Palace | -0.0862566024940662 |
\n",
"| 15 | Stoke | -0.09019226229085878 |
\n",
"| 16 | Norwich | -0.11939129288277771 |
\n",
"| 17 | Aston Villa | -0.13796049478737474 |
\n",
"| 18 | West Brom | -0.1437079793887076 |
\n",
"| 19 | Sunderland | -0.18321482552252205 |
\n",
"| 20 | Newcastle | -0.18776224701173522 |
| Position | Team | PDO |
|---|
| 1 | Leicester | 0.11229314420803782 |
\n",
"| 2 | Everton | 0.10434782608695653 |
\n",
"| 3 | West Ham | 0.08359788359788362 |
\n",
"| 4 | Man United | 0.08317901234567898 |
\n",
"| 5 | Arsenal | 0.08105646630236796 |
\n",
"| 6 | Stoke | 0.0648148148148148 |
\n",
"| 7 | Watford | 0.037878787878787845 |
\n",
"| 8 | Man City | 0.02800969566388367 |
\n",
"| 9 | West Brom | 0.02049910873440286 |
\n",
"| 10 | Sunderland | 0.01522227988237329 |
\n",
"| 11 | Tottenham | 0.005847953216374269 |
\n",
"| 12 | Chelsea | -0.0005772005772005651 |
\n",
"| 13 | Crystal Palace | -0.01736842105263159 |
\n",
"| 14 | Newcastle | -0.03302611367127495 |
\n",
"| 15 | Norwich | -0.03824955908289246 |
\n",
"| 16 | Southampton | -0.03975535168195715 |
\n",
"| 17 | Swansea | -0.08863049095607234 |
\n",
"| 18 | Aston Villa | -0.12472433227150206 |
\n",
"| 19 | Bournemouth | -0.14207221350078497 |
\n",
"| 20 | Liverpool | -0.1428571428571429 |
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | Newcastle | Norwich |
|---|
| West Ham (A) | Man City (H) | Everton (A) | Tottenham (H) |
\n",
"| Norwich (H) | Liverpool (A) | West Brom (H) | Aston Villa (A) |
\n",
"| Liverpool (H) | Man United (H) | Chelsea (A) | West Ham (H) |
\n",
"| Stoke (A) | West Ham (A) | Man City (H) | Leicester (A) |
\n",
"| Everton (H) | Crystal Palace (H) | Stoke (A) | Chelsea (H) |
\n",
"| Man City (A) | Southampton (A) | Bournemouth (H) | Swansea (A) |
\n",
"| Tottenham (H) | Everton (H) | Leicester (A) | Man City (H) |
\n",
"| Swansea (A) | Newcastle (A) | Sunderland (H) | West Brom (A) |
\n",
"| Chelsea (H) | West Brom (H) | Norwich (A) | Newcastle (H) |
\n",
"| Bournemouth (H) | Leicester (H) | Southampton (A) | Crystal Palace (A) |
\n",
"| Man United (A) | Norwich (A) | Swansea (H) | Sunderland (H) |
\n",
"| Southampton (H) | Arsenal (H) | Liverpool (A) | Watford (H) |
\n",
"| Watford (A) | Stoke (A) | Crystal Palace (H) | Arsenal (A) |
\n",
"| Newcastle (H) | Chelsea (H) | Aston Villa (A) | Man United (H) |
\n",
"| Arsenal (A) | Watford (A) | Tottenham (H) | Everton (A) |
"
],
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "display_data",
"text": [
""
]
}
],
"prompt_number": 3
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"West Ham play three of these teams in the next four games. More importantly though Sunderland look in for a difficult time and Newcastle not much better, and Norwich have to play Tottenham and Leicester. So **if** Aston Villa could must something like 7 points, they might get themeselves back into the fight. But they would still only be in a fight.\n",
"\n",
"As an aside Aston Villa are one of only 5 teams to have not lost in their last three games."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# West Ham 2-2 Manchester City\n",
"\n",
"Again West Ham competed pretty well here. Although Manchester City did out-shoot them it wasn't by a startling margin. A draw not at all an unrepresentative result."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Arsenal 0-1 Chelsea\n",
"\n",
"Chelsea do the double over Arsenal. Again they did deserve this but again it was a bit unrepresentative based on a red card in the first half for Arsenal. Chelsea fans will be a bit releaved, I am still projecting Chelsea to finish in the top half of the table, but before the weekend only 4 points separated them from the relegation zone. Newcastle losing means they are now 7 points from there and only 4 points from 10th placed Watford.\n",
"\n",
"Chelsea now with the longest current unbeaten run in the league, having not lost for 7 games."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Everton 1-2 Swansea\n",
"\n",
"Another team that looked in trouble a couple of weeks ago have just won two matches to push themselves to a little bit of day-light between themselves and the relagation zone. Everton huffed-and-puffed and got off a lot of shots, but only 2 on target from 20 shots is pretty disappointing. Swansea may have only had 7 shots but 5 on target suggests this victory was not completely unmerited. Swansea one of only three teams to have won both their last two games."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"collapsed": false,
"input": [
"league_analysis.display_current_runs(epl)"
],
"language": "python",
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"html": [
"| Position | Team | Winning Run |
|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 3 |
\n",
"| 2 | Tottenham | 2 |
\n",
"| - | Swansea | 2 |
\n",
"| 4 | Liverpool | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Watford | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Leicester | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Chelsea | 1 |
\n",
"| 8 | Sunderland | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Crystal Palace | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Man United | 0 |
\n",
"| - | West Ham | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Aston Villa | 0 |
\n",
"| - | West Brom | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Norwich | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Stoke | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Arsenal | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Bournemouth | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Everton | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Man City | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Newcastle | 0 |
| Position | Team | Unbeaten Run |
|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 7 |
\n",
"| 2 | Man City | 6 |
\n",
"| 3 | Leicester | 5 |
\n",
"| 4 | Aston Villa | 3 |
\n",
"| - | Southampton | 3 |
\n",
"| 6 | Tottenham | 2 |
\n",
"| - | Swansea | 2 |
\n",
"| - | Bournemouth | 2 |
\n",
"| 9 | Sunderland | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Liverpool | 1 |
\n",
"| - | West Ham | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Watford | 1 |
\n",
"| - | West Brom | 1 |
\n",
"| 14 | Crystal Palace | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Man United | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Norwich | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Stoke | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Arsenal | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Everton | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Newcastle | 0 |
| Position | Team | Winless |
|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 6 |
\n",
"| 2 | Everton | 5 |
\n",
"| 3 | West Brom | 3 |
\n",
"| - | Norwich | 3 |
\n",
"| - | Arsenal | 3 |
\n",
"| 6 | Sunderland | 2 |
\n",
"| - | West Ham | 2 |
\n",
"| - | Aston Villa | 2 |
\n",
"| - | Stoke | 2 |
\n",
"| 10 | Man United | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Bournemouth | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Man City | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Newcastle | 1 |
\n",
"| 14 | Tottenham | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Swansea | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Liverpool | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Watford | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Leicester | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Southampton | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Chelsea | 0 |
| Position | Team | Losing |
|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 4 |
\n",
"| 2 | Norwich | 3 |
\n",
"| 3 | Man United | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Stoke | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Arsenal | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Everton | 1 |
\n",
"| - | Newcastle | 1 |
\n",
"| 8 | Sunderland | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Tottenham | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Swansea | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Liverpool | 0 |
\n",
"| - | West Ham | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Watford | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Aston Villa | 0 |
\n",
"| - | West Brom | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Leicester | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Southampton | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Chelsea | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Bournemouth | 0 |
\n",
"| - | Man City | 0 |